Projection · PPR
183.9
120–248 range
ADP (consensus)
224
as of Jul 17
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 186.7 | 11.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 183.9 | 10.8 |
How we got there (v2)
10.82
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
183.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.39 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.82.