Projection · PPR
201.8
131–272 range
ADP (consensus)
225
as of Jun 2
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 186.7 | 11.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 201.8 | 11.9 |
How we got there (v2)
11.87
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
201.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.49 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.87.