Projection · PPR
184.4
118–251 range
ADP (consensus)
67
as of Jul 17
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 169.8 | 12.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 184.4 | 10.8 |
How we got there (v2)
11.89
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
184.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.52 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.89.