Projection · PPR
151.6
99–205 range
ADP (consensus)
75
as of Jun 2
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 188.5 | 11.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 151.6 | 8.9 |
How we got there (v2)
8.92
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
151.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.59 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.92.