Projection · PPR
245.8
158–334 range
ADP (consensus)
94
as of Jun 2
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 241.6 | 17.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 245.8 | 14.5 |
How we got there (v2)
15.86
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
245.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 16.69 PPG; age curve adjusts to 15.86.