Projection · PPR
230.0
148–313 range
ADP (consensus)
100
as of Jul 17
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 241.6 | 17.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 230.0 | 13.5 |
How we got there (v2)
14.84
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
230.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 15.62 PPG; age curve adjusts to 14.84.