Projection · PPR
125.7
81–170 range
ADP (consensus)
61
as of Jun 2
Confidence
31%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 165.1 | 10.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 125.7 | 7.4 |
How we got there (v2)
7.62
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
125.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.96 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.62.