Projection · PPR
174.4
109–240 range
ADP (consensus)
21
as of Jun 2
Confidence
18%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 9 | 135.7 | 15.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 174.4 | 10.3 |
How we got there (v2)
13.69
PPG (aged)
12.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
174.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).