Projection · PPR
190.4
119–262 range
ADP (consensus)
21
as of Jul 17
Confidence
18%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 9 | 135.7 | 15.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 190.4 | 11.2 |
How we got there (v2)
14.95
PPG (aged)
12.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
190.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).