Projection · PPR
168.9
110–228 range
ADP (consensus)
61
as of Jun 2
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 195.7 | 11.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 168.9 | 9.9 |
How we got there (v2)
9.93
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
168.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.04 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.93.