Projection · PPR
177.4
115–240 range
ADP (consensus)
60
as of Jul 17
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 195.7 | 11.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 177.4 | 10.4 |
How we got there (v2)
10.44
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
177.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.60 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.44.