Projection · PPR
55.7
36–76 range
ADP (consensus)
248
as of Jul 17
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 75.9 | 5.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 55.7 | 3.3 |
How we got there (v2)
3.59
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
55.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 3.70 PPG; age curve adjusts to 3.59.