Projection · PPR
84.5
54–115 range
ADP (consensus)
259
as of Jun 2
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 75.9 | 5.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 84.5 | 5.0 |
How we got there (v2)
5.45
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
84.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.62 PPG; age curve adjusts to 5.45.