Projection · PPR
17.3
11–24 range
ADP (consensus)
312
as of Jul 17
Confidence
20%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 10 | 8.8 | 0.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 17.3 | 1.0 |
How we got there (v2)
1.30
PPG (aged)
13.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
17.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 1.37 PPG; age curve adjusts to 1.30.