Projection · PPR
24.8
16–34 range
ADP (consensus)
293
as of Jun 2
Confidence
20%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 10 | 8.8 | 0.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 24.8 | 1.5 |
How we got there (v2)
1.88
PPG (aged)
13.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
24.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 1.98 PPG; age curve adjusts to 1.88.