Projection · PPR
18.2
11–25 range
ADP (consensus)
331
as of Aug 31
Confidence
20%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 10 | 8.8 | 0.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 18.2 | 1.1 |
How we got there (v2)
1.37
PPG (aged)
13.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
18.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).