Projection · PPR
133.5
87–180 range
ADP (consensus)
129
as of Jul 17
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 140.3 | 8.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 133.5 | 7.9 |
How we got there (v2)
7.85
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
133.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).