Projection · PPR
78.9
51–107 range
ADP (consensus)
277
as of Jun 2
Confidence
31%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 91.7 | 5.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 78.9 | 4.6 |
How we got there (v2)
4.78
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
78.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.63 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.78.