Projection · PPR
73.3
47–100 range
ADP (consensus)
137
as of Jun 2
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 70.0 | 5.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 73.3 | 4.3 |
How we got there (v2)
4.73
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
73.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.25 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.73.