Projection · PPR
83.9
54–114 range
ADP (consensus)
133
as of Jul 17
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 70.0 | 5.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 83.9 | 4.9 |
How we got there (v2)
5.41
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
83.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.01 PPG; age curve adjusts to 5.41.