Projection · PPR
40.2
26–55 range
ADP (consensus)
696
as of Jul 17
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 49.2 | 3.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 40.2 | 2.4 |
How we got there (v2)
2.59
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
40.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 2.88 PPG; age curve adjusts to 2.59.