Projection · PPR
194.6
123–266 range
ADP (consensus)
172
as of Jun 2
Confidence
22%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 11 | 158.0 | 14.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 194.6 | 11.4 |
How we got there (v2)
14.18
PPG (aged)
13.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
194.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.93 PPG; age curve adjusts to 14.18.