Projection · PPR
102.9
64–142 range
ADP (consensus)
148
as of Jul 17
Confidence
14%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 7 | 63.8 | 9.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 102.9 | 6.1 |
How we got there (v2)
9.03
PPG (aged)
11.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
102.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.03 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.03.