Projection · PPR
88.7
55–122 range
ADP (consensus)
147
as of Jun 2
Confidence
14%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 7 | 63.8 | 9.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 88.7 | 5.2 |
How we got there (v2)
7.78
PPG (aged)
11.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
88.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.65 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.78.