Projection · PPR
34.6
22–47 range
ADP (consensus)
327
as of Jun 2
Confidence
31%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 24.8 | 1.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 34.6 | 2.0 |
How we got there (v2)
2.10
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
34.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 2.21 PPG; age curve adjusts to 2.10.