Projection · PPR
193.5
126–261 range
ADP (consensus)
72
as of Jul 17
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 206.2 | 12.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 193.5 | 11.4 |
How we got there (v2)
11.38
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
193.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).