Projection · PPR
197.8
129–267 range
ADP (consensus)
73
as of Jun 2
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 206.2 | 12.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 197.8 | 11.6 |
How we got there (v2)
11.64
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
197.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).