Projection · PPR
221.0
144–298 range
ADP (consensus)
14
as of Jun 2
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 245.1 | 14.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 221.0 | 13.0 |
How we got there (v2)
13.00
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
221.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.69 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.00.