Projection · PPR
183.1
119–247 range
ADP (consensus)
32
as of Jun 2
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 213.4 | 12.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 183.1 | 10.8 |
How we got there (v2)
10.77
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
183.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.97 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.77.