Projection · PPR
134.6
84–185 range
ADP (consensus)
364
as of Jun 22
Confidence
16%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 8 | 84.9 | 10.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 134.6 | 7.9 |
How we got there (v2)
10.99
PPG (aged)
12.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
134.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.57 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.99.