Projection · PPR
87.2
54–120 range
ADP (consensus)
309
as of Jun 2
Confidence
16%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 8 | 65.1 | 8.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 87.2 | 5.1 |
How we got there (v2)
7.12
PPG (aged)
12.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
87.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.91 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.12.