Projection · PPR
34.8
21–48 range
ADP (consensus)
337
as of Jun 2
Confidence
10%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 5 | 9.6 | 1.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 34.8 | 2.0 |
How we got there (v2)
3.33
PPG (aged)
10.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
34.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 3.50 PPG; age curve adjusts to 3.33.