Projection · PPR
31.6
19–44 range
ADP (consensus)
331
as of Jul 17
Confidence
10%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 5 | 9.6 | 1.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 31.6 | 1.9 |
How we got there (v2)
3.02
PPG (aged)
10.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
31.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 3.18 PPG; age curve adjusts to 3.02.