Projection · PPR
91.9
59–125 range
ADP (consensus)
240
as of Jul 17
Confidence
29%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 87.6 | 5.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 91.9 | 5.4 |
How we got there (v2)
5.74
PPG (aged)
16.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
91.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.05 PPG; age curve adjusts to 5.74.