Projection · PPR
103.7
67–140 range
ADP (consensus)
149
as of Jul 17
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 129.5 | 7.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 103.7 | 6.1 |
How we got there (v2)
6.10
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
103.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.78 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.10.