Projection · PPR
115.6
75–156 range
ADP (consensus)
146
as of Jun 2
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 129.5 | 7.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 115.6 | 6.8 |
How we got there (v2)
6.80
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
115.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.55 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.80.