Projection · PPR
49.2
32–67 range
ADP (consensus)
275
as of Jun 2
Confidence
27%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 42.4 | 3.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 49.2 | 2.9 |
How we got there (v2)
3.17
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
49.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 3.53 PPG; age curve adjusts to 3.17.