Projection · PPR
171.4
107–236 range
ADP (consensus)
61
as of Jul 17
Confidence
16%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 8 | 127.7 | 16.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 171.4 | 10.1 |
How we got there (v2)
13.99
PPG (aged)
12.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
171.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).