Projection · PPR
174.7
109–241 range
ADP (consensus)
65
as of Jun 2
Confidence
16%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 8 | 127.7 | 16.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 174.7 | 10.3 |
How we got there (v2)
14.26
PPG (aged)
12.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
174.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).