Projection · PPR
46.6
29–65 range
ADP (consensus)
303
as of Jul 17
Confidence
10%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 5 | 20.4 | 4.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 46.6 | 2.7 |
How we got there (v2)
4.46
PPG (aged)
10.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
46.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 4.70 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.46.