Projection · PPR
50.1
31–69 range
ADP (consensus)
312
as of Jun 2
Confidence
10%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 5 | 20.4 | 4.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 50.1 | 2.9 |
How we got there (v2)
4.79
PPG (aged)
10.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
50.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.05 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.79.