Projection · PPR
58.7
38–79 range
ADP (consensus)
283
as of Jun 2
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 54.1 | 3.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 58.7 | 3.5 |
How we got there (v2)
3.45
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
58.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 3.63 PPG; age curve adjusts to 3.45.