Projection · PPR
42.1
27–57 range
ADP (consensus)
291
as of Jul 17
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 54.1 | 3.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 42.1 | 2.5 |
How we got there (v2)
2.48
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
42.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 2.61 PPG; age curve adjusts to 2.48.