Projection · PPR
105.9
68–144 range
ADP (consensus)
226
as of Jun 2
Confidence
29%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 131.4 | 8.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 105.9 | 6.2 |
How we got there (v2)
6.62
PPG (aged)
16.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
105.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.78 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.62.