Projection · PPR
83.1
53–113 range
ADP (consensus)
294
as of Jul 17
Confidence
25%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | 74.8 | 5.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 83.1 | 4.9 |
How we got there (v2)
5.65
PPG (aged)
14.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
83.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.28 PPG; age curve adjusts to 5.65.