Projection · PPR
78.4
50–107 range
ADP (consensus)
281
as of Jun 2
Confidence
25%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | 74.8 | 5.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 78.4 | 4.6 |
How we got there (v2)
5.33
PPG (aged)
14.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
78.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.92 PPG; age curve adjusts to 5.33.