Projection · PPR
160.4
104–217 range
ADP (consensus)
143
as of Jul 17
Confidence
31%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 145.1 | 9.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 160.4 | 9.4 |
How we got there (v2)
9.72
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
160.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).