Projection · PPR
174.3
113–235 range
ADP (consensus)
114
as of Jul 17
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 206.6 | 12.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 174.3 | 10.3 |
How we got there (v2)
10.25
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
174.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).