Projection · PPR
47.8
30–65 range
ADP (consensus)
241
as of Jul 17
Confidence
22%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 11 | 52.1 | 4.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 47.8 | 2.8 |
How we got there (v2)
3.48
PPG (aged)
13.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
47.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 4.10 PPG; age curve adjusts to 3.48.