Projection · PPR
57.7
37–79 range
ADP (consensus)
250
as of Jun 2
Confidence
22%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025partial | 11 | 52.1 | 4.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 57.7 | 3.4 |
How we got there (v2)
4.21
PPG (aged)
13.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
57.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 4.95 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.21.