Projection · PPR
169.6
111–228 range
ADP (consensus)
29
as of Jul 17
Confidence
37%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 273.6 | 18.2 |
| 2025partial | 4 | 57.1 | 14.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 169.6 | 10.0 |
How we got there (v2)
15.47
PPG (aged)
11.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
169.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 17.19 PPG; age curve adjusts to 15.47.