Projection · PPR
128.5
88–169 range
ADP (consensus)
133
as of Jun 2
Confidence
59%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16 | 187.2 | 11.7 |
| 2025 | 14 | 109.9 | 7.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 128.5 | 7.6 |
How we got there (v2)
8.23
PPG (aged)
15.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
128.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.14 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.23.