Projection · PPR
136.0
94–178 range
ADP (consensus)
130
as of Jul 17
Confidence
59%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16 | 187.2 | 11.7 |
| 2025 | 14 | 109.9 | 7.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 136.0 | 8.0 |
How we got there (v2)
8.71
PPG (aged)
15.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
136.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.68 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.71.