Projection · PPR
182.9
126–239 range
ADP (consensus)
98
as of Jul 17
Confidence
61%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 284.0 | 16.7 |
| 2025 | 14 | 138.8 | 9.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 182.9 | 10.8 |
How we got there (v2)
11.54
PPG (aged)
15.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
182.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.82 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.54.