Projection · PPR
173.1
120–227 range
ADP (consensus)
101
as of Jun 2
Confidence
61%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 284.0 | 16.7 |
| 2025 | 14 | 138.8 | 9.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 173.1 | 10.2 |
How we got there (v2)
10.92
PPG (aged)
15.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
173.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.14 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.92.