Projection · PPR
149.6
103–197 range
ADP (consensus)
75
as of Jul 17
Confidence
57%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 144.9 | 8.5 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 146.1 | 12.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 149.6 | 8.8 |
How we got there (v2)
10.12
PPG (aged)
14.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
149.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.44 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.12.