Projection · PPR
140.5
96–185 range
ADP (consensus)
82
as of Jun 2
Confidence
57%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 196.5 | 11.6 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 127.8 | 10.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 140.5 | 8.3 |
How we got there (v2)
9.51
PPG (aged)
14.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
140.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.57 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.51.