Projection · PPR
141.8
97–186 range
ADP (consensus)
80
as of Jul 17
Confidence
57%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 196.5 | 11.6 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 127.8 | 10.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 141.8 | 8.3 |
How we got there (v2)
9.60
PPG (aged)
14.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
141.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.66 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.60.