Projection · PPR
152.8
105–201 range
ADP (consensus)
71
as of Aug 31
Confidence
57%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 196.5 | 11.6 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 127.8 | 10.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 152.8 | 9.0 |
How we got there (v2)
10.34
PPG (aged)
14.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
152.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.66 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.34.