Projection · PPR
120.2
84–157 range
ADP (consensus)
589
as of Jul 17
Confidence
65%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16 | 67.1 | 4.2 |
| 2025 | 17 | 177.1 | 10.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 120.2 | 7.1 |
How we got there (v2)
7.17
PPG (aged)
16.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
120.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.96 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.17.