Projection · PPR
121.6
85–158 range
ADP (consensus)
589
as of Jun 2
Confidence
65%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16 | 67.1 | 4.2 |
| 2025 | 17 | 177.1 | 10.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 121.6 | 7.2 |
How we got there (v2)
7.25
PPG (aged)
16.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
121.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.06 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.25.