Projection · PPR
80.8
53–109 range
ADP (consensus)
169
as of Jul 17
Confidence
33%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 135.4 | 10.4 |
| 2025partial | 4 | 29.9 | 7.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 80.8 | 4.8 |
How we got there (v2)
8.11
PPG (aged)
10.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
80.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.36 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.11.