Projection · PPR
77.7
54–101 range
ADP (consensus)
217
as of Jul 17
Confidence
65%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 53.8 | 3.2 |
| 2025 | 16 | 87.9 | 5.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 77.7 | 4.6 |
How we got there (v2)
4.68
PPG (aged)
16.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
77.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.19 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.68.