Projection · PPR
105.1
72–138 range
ADP (consensus)
317
as of Jun 2
Confidence
59%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 125.1 | 8.3 |
| 2025 | 15 | 89.3 | 6.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 105.1 | 6.2 |
How we got there (v2)
6.66
PPG (aged)
15.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
105.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.87 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.66.