Projection · PPR
104.0
72–136 range
ADP (consensus)
326
as of Jul 17
Confidence
59%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 125.1 | 8.3 |
| 2025 | 15 | 89.3 | 6.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 104.0 | 6.1 |
How we got there (v2)
6.59
PPG (aged)
15.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
104.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.80 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.59.