Projection · PPR
110.4
73–148 range
ADP (consensus)
117
as of Jul 17
Confidence
39%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024partial | 11 | 93.5 | 8.5 |
| 2025partial | 9 | 88.6 | 9.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 110.4 | 6.5 |
How we got there (v2)
9.79
PPG (aged)
11.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
110.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.09 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.79.