Projection · PPR
97.2
64–130 range
ADP (consensus)
117
as of Jun 2
Confidence
39%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024partial | 11 | 93.5 | 8.5 |
| 2025partial | 9 | 88.6 | 9.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 97.2 | 5.7 |
How we got there (v2)
8.62
PPG (aged)
11.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
97.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.88 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.62.