Projection · PPR
187.7
130–245 range
ADP (consensus)
191
as of Jul 17
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 182.3 | 10.7 |
| 2025 | 15 | 160.8 | 10.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 187.7 | 11.0 |
How we got there (v2)
11.57
PPG (aged)
16.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
187.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).