Projection · PPR
92.5
62–123 range
ADP (consensus)
313
as of Jul 17
Confidence
49%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 111.5 | 8.6 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 102.4 | 8.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 92.5 | 5.4 |
How we got there (v2)
7.26
PPG (aged)
12.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
92.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.07 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.26.