Projection · PPR
93.4
65–122 range
ADP (consensus)
282
as of Jul 17
Confidence
61%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14 | 56.8 | 4.1 |
| 2025 | 17 | 116.7 | 6.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 93.4 | 5.5 |
How we got there (v2)
5.73
PPG (aged)
16.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
93.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.90 PPG; age curve adjusts to 5.73.