Projection · PPR
196.5
136–257 range
ADP (consensus)
63
as of Jul 17
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16 | 240.9 | 15.1 |
| 2025 | 16 | 180.9 | 11.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 196.5 | 11.6 |
How we got there (v2)
11.99
PPG (aged)
16.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
196.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.36 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.99.