Projection · PPR
51.2
34–69 range
ADP (consensus)
187
as of Jul 17
Confidence
41%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 85.2 | 5.0 |
| 2025partial | 4 | 15.3 | 3.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 51.2 | 3.0 |
How we got there (v2)
4.49
PPG (aged)
11.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
51.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 4.73 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.49.