Projection · PPR
209.5
142–277 range
ADP (consensus)
65
as of Jul 17
Confidence
53%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 244.4 | 14.4 |
| 2025partial | 10 | 138.5 | 13.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 209.5 | 12.3 |
How we got there (v2)
14.94
PPG (aged)
14.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
209.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).