Projection · PPR
212.9
143–283 range
ADP (consensus)
72
as of Jun 2
Confidence
47%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 355.8 | 20.9 |
| 2025partial | 7 | 114.3 | 16.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 212.9 | 12.5 |
How we got there (v2)
17.03
PPG (aged)
12.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
212.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 17.93 PPG; age curve adjusts to 17.03.