Projection · PPR
232.2
156–309 range
ADP (consensus)
71
as of Jul 17
Confidence
47%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 355.8 | 20.9 |
| 2025partial | 7 | 114.3 | 16.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 232.2 | 13.7 |
How we got there (v2)
18.58
PPG (aged)
12.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
232.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 19.56 PPG; age curve adjusts to 18.58.